The routes taken by the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars this season have been different, but they've surprisingly reached the same destination. No one is surprised to see the Jaguars at the bottom of the standings, but the Texans season sinking like a lead balloon has been a shock to their fans. The Jacksonville Jaguars are not just the worst team in the league this season, but one of the worst teams of all time statistically.
With how bad the Jaguars are, it would stand to reason that I should pick the Texans to win and probably win comfortably, but I have some doubt. I say that because the same logic could have been applied to home games against the Rams and Raiders, but they lost to both teams, including a 25 point embarrassment in week six against St. Louis. On paper, the Texans are a much better team than Jacksonville. However, the Texans record against the Vegas spread (1-8-1) is even worse than their actual record, so expecting the Texans to meet expectations week to week is just foolish at this point.
Let the Bridgewater Bowl begin!